DreamTeam Time

Round 15, 2011

Posted by The Shadow on June 30, 2011 (0 Comments)

Round 15 is here, and most teams should be fielding their strongest side they've had for several weeks now thanks to West Coast having the bye. This should only mean Cox out of most people's lineups which is a big concern, considering Aaron Sandilands is going to miss another 4 weeks.

Who have you got for cover in the rucks? Post in the comments section.

Nearly 50,000 coaches would be happy to see that Jed Adcock has been declared fit after a 2 week stint on the sidelines with a broken finger. He had a couple of poor games leading up to it, probably due to carrying his finger injury. This just means that he'll be at a great price for those needing a final upgrade in their backline. Adcock would make a more than handy D8 as well. Heppell to Adcock anyone?

Another story to come from the week is Alan Didak. After averaging 98.8 over the past 3 seasons as a top tier forward, he's killed many owners with a mediocre average of 72.2. His price has plummeted to $272k, and to make matters worse, he's going to miss a few weeks with a calf strain. Backup forward me thinks, as he has to turn it around sometime. Hopefully in time for dreamteam finals.

On to the goodies:

Downgrade options:

Ian Callinan (ADE) - $80,400 - Centre/Forward - B/E XX: Gun. Callinan is a must add at some point over the next 3 weeks. Adelaide have the bye next week, so depending on how your trade situation is, and the state of your cash cows, you can hold off until just before Round 17 to bring him in. Expect every single active DreamTeam coach to bring him in.

Matthew Lobbe (PTA) - $126,000 - Ruck/Forward - B/E XX: With Brogan's retirement, and Port Adelaide's season over, expect this kid to get a fair bit of ruck time. Handy MPP for those with Petrie in their forward line. 

Patrick Karnezis (BRI) - $92,500 - Forward - B/E -25: Averaging 49.50 over his first two games. Hopefully Voss continues to play him, but who knows?

Kyle Cheney (HAW) - $159,900 - Back - B/E -19: Any player in Hawthorn's backline is worth keeping an eye on. They rack up the points like it's going out of fashion. Probably too expensive for a true downgrade option, but figured he's worth a mention with a score of 88 on the weekend.

Matthew Watson (CAR) - $92,500 - Back - B/E -31: Hasn't played since Round 3, but with Carlton losing Jamison for 4 weeks, may be given another look in. Wait for the announcement of teams.


Verdict: If you have a cash cow that's ready to be sold in the forwards or mids, bring in Callinan. If you are looking for lots of cash from Sandilands, then Lobbe is a solid option. Just make sure you wait until teams are named.


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Cash Cows for sale:

Nick Lower - Back - $281k - B/E 88

Shaun Atley - Centre - $195k - B/E 79

Zach Smith - Ruck - $312k - B/E 108

Trent McKenzie - Centre - $274k - B/E 87

Other notables: Brandon Matera, Luke Tapscott, Stewart Crameri, Luke Thompson


Verdict: Atley to Callinan would be a good move if you have those pieces.

 

Upgrade targets:

Backs:

Matt Suckling - $364k - B/E 51 - Avg 97.75

Grant Birchall - $379k - B/E 76 - Avg 93.69

Sam Fisher - $360k - B/E 81 - Avg 91.92

The following players have byes during DreamTeam finals, so bring in at own risk:

Heath Scotland $394k - B/E 98 - Avg 100.38

Bryce Gibbs $358k - B/E 67 - Avg 100.00

Corey Enright $350k - B/E 38 - Avg 92.92


Centres:

Dane Swan - $392k - B/E 102 - Avg 113.82

Matthew Boyd - $429k - B/E 134 - Avg 114.92 (High break even, so can wait a week)

Sam Mitchell - $425k - B/E 77 - Avg 110.67

Scott Thompson - $400k - B/E 100 - Avg 107.23

Tom Rockliff - $375k - B/E 72 - Avg 103.55

 

Rucks:

Drew Petrie - $368k - B/E 91 - Avg 93.42

Todd Goldstein - $380k - B/E 108 - Avg 100.58 (Misses first week of DT finals with bye. Also Hamish McIntosh is playing again in VFL)

Ben McEvoy - $384k - B/E 77 - Avg 93.45 (avg 122 over last 3)

Jonathan Griffin - $273k - B/E 57 - Avg 90


Forwards:

Paul Chapman - $365k - B/E 91 - Avg 99.09 - Bye round 22.

Matthew Pavlich - $360k - B/E 66 - Avg 95.92

Adam Goodes - $332k - B/E 80 - Avg 91.77

Travis Cloke - $366k - B/E 37 - Avg 93.08 (Last 3 games avg 124.67)


Verdict: Chapman still a great buy at $365k, but beware of the Geelong bye in the 2nd week of dreamteam finals. I'm a bit skeptical of bringing in Goldstein for Sandilands, as Goldstein has the bye in round 21, but a bigger threat is Hamish McIntosh playing in games in the VFL. Could really hurt his value should we see a timeshare of ruck duties. Hopefully you have Zac Smith and can give it a few weeks for things to become clearer.

For the backs, I think Birchall will outscore Suckling by end of season. Fisher will continue to rack up his scores, and Goddard should consistently bust out his 90+ once again.

Buy of the week would have to be Dane Swan if you don't already have him. Looks to be over his niggling injuries and at $392k, you cannot go wrong. Get on board!


  Future targets with big break evens:

Steve Johnson (195), Leigh Montagna (188), Jimmy Bartel (169), Heath Shaw (150), Dean Cox (141), Jobe Watson (139), Joel Selwood (138), Lance Franklin (136), Scott Pendlebury (134), Matthew Boyd (134)



Hopefully this makes a few of your trading decisions easier this week.


The Shadow....


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